Macys Inc Stock Performance

M Stock  USD 21.71  0.48  2.26%   
Macys has a performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.46, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Macys will likely underperform. Macys Inc right now secures a risk of 2.57%. Please verify Macys Inc value at risk, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and skewness , to decide if Macys Inc will be following its current price movements.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Soft

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Macys Inc are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unsteady primary indicators, Macys may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
 
Macys dividend paid on 2nd of January 2026
01/02/2026
Begin Period Cash FlowB
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-592 M

Macys Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,021  in Macys Inc on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  150.00  from holding Macys Inc or generate 7.42% return on investment over 90 days. Macys Inc is generating 0.1496% of daily returns and assumes 2.5736% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Put is differently, 23% of stocks are less volatile than Macys, and over 97% of all traded equities are expected to make higher returns on investment over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Taking into account the 90-day investment horizon Macys is expected to generate 3.45 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.45 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

Macys Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Macys Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 21.71 90 days 21.71 
about 47.96
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Macys to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 47.96 (This Macys Inc probability density function shows the probability of Macys Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Taking into account the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.46 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Macys will likely underperform. Additionally Macys Inc has an alpha of 0.0598, implying that it can generate a 0.0598 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Macys Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Macys

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Macys Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.1421.7124.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.0121.5824.15
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.6221.2023.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.3821.5423.69
Details

Macys Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Macys is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Macys' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Macys Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Macys within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.46
σ
Overall volatility
1.37
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Macys Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Macys for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Macys Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 2nd of January 2026 Macys paid $ 0.1824 per share dividend to its current shareholders

Macys Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Macys Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Macys' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Macys' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding281.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.3 B

Macys Fundamentals Growth

Macys Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Macys, and Macys fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Macys Stock performance.

About Macys Performance

By examining Macys' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Macys' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Macys is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Macys, Inc., an omni-channel retail organization, operates stores, Websites, and mobile applications. Macys, Inc. was founded in 1830 and is based in New York, New York. Macys operates under Department Stores classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 88857 people.

Things to note about Macys Inc performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Macys for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Macys Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 2nd of January 2026 Macys paid $ 0.1824 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Evaluating Macys' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Macys' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Macys' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Macys' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Macys' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Macys' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Macys' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Macys' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Macys' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Macys' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Macys' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Macys Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry.
You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Will Broadline Retail sector continue expanding? Could Macys diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Macys. Expected growth trajectory for Macys significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Macys data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Macys Inc's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Macys's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Macys' intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Macys' trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that Macys' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Macys represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, Macys' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.